WHAT’S INSIDE

• Tech News: Fair Use AI Wins, China AI Ban, Iran, Bernie 4-Day work week

• Company Watch: Sanmai, Kalshi, Polymarket, XBOW, The Nuclear Co, Abridge

• Feature: The $500B Forecast For Crypto Mortgages & Prediction Markets

• Buzzy Tools: Latest Buzzy tech, AI and financial tools

• Deep Tech: The latest in deep tech, biotech, futurism and more

• Space Tech: Latest news in the space race and aerospace tech

• Crypto: Blockchain and crypto policy and startups or protocols to watch

TECH IN THE NEWS

Market Bounce — Global stocks declined after China reported slow growth and US inflation concerns persisted, but roared back Thursday as World stocks hit a fresh record peak, S&P 500 & Nasdaq flirt with all-time highs.

Fair Use Victories — Federal judges separately ruled that Meta and Anthropic training AI models on copyrighted books was "fair use." Anthropic faces separate charges for pirating millions of books online, as does Microsoft.

AI Ban Escalates — U.S. lawmakers propose the "No Adversarial AI Act" to block government use of China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea-based AI models like, citing security concerns. Zhipu AI is wooing a global AI government ecosystem.

Strike 1 — Defense Secretary Hegseth will address the media on US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities. While President Trump claims success & aims to meet Iran soon, intel reports suggests limited impact.

Cybersecurity Alert — Homeland Security warns of imminent Iranian cyberattacks on U.S. networks following airstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities and Israeli hacks on Iran.

4-Day Workweek Push — Bernie Sanders advocates for a four-day workweek, suggesting AI productivity gains should benefit workers based on successful trials at companies like Kickstarter.

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The $500B Forecast For Crypto Mortgages and Prediction Markets

Crypto mortgages and prediction markets are rising together — and the financial system is already adjusting

Two blockchain-based sectors once peripheral to mainstream finance are accelerating toward institutional integration. Crypto-backed mortgages and decentralized prediction markets are expanding on parallel tracks, shaped by regulatory shifts, venture capital, and performance metrics that surpass traditional benchmarks. Their combined projected value — more than $500 billion by 2032 — is an early signal of a financial architecture being quietly rebuilt from the edges in.

The Turning Point for Crypto Mortgages

On Wednesday, the Federal Housing Finance Agency issued a directive that reshapes mortgage qualification standards in the US. For the first time, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac must consider proposals that treat cryptocurrency holdings as qualifying assets in single-family mortgage risk assessments. Liquidation of crypto before loan approval — a requirement that triggered capital gains taxes and eroded long-term holdings — is no longer the default condition.

The directive applies only to assets stored on U.S.-regulated centralized exchanges, which preserves regulatory compliance while extending mortgage access to a fast-growing pool of crypto-first consumers. Backed by the Trump administration’s broader crypto policy push, the move immediately affects roughly half of the $12 trillion U.S. home loan market.

Specialized lenders like Milo, Ledn, and SALT have already built the infrastructure for this shift. Milo offers full financing on home purchases using crypto collateral, has surpassed $65M in loan volume, and reports that borrowers have collectively preserved $50M in Bitcoin gains by avoiding liquidation. Ledn leads in raw scale, with $9B in originations since 2018.

These services are not speculative experiments — they respond to real market behavior. The broader crypto lending ecosystem, which now exceeds $30B, is increasingly dominated by DeFi protocols, signaling not just consumer appetite but deep interest in blockchain-native lending structures.

Prediction Markets: Capital and Credibility

While crypto mortgages absorb into institutional workflows, prediction markets are rapidly becoming information infrastructure. In 2025 alone, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have attracted nearly $400M in venture funding and reached combined valuations exceeding $3Bn.

Polymarket, which operates outside U.S. jurisdiction, has built a global presence with $8 billion in trading volume during the 2024 U.S. election and demonstrated predictive accuracy of 90% at one month out, increasing to 94% just before event resolution. It now partners with Elon Musk’s xAI as the official forecasting engine for both the AI platform and the X social media network. It even just accurately picked this week’s major upset in the Democratic party nomination for New York Mayor.

Kalshi, legally accessible in the US, has built legitimacy via regulatory compliance. Its funding round, led by Paradigm and joined by Citadel Securities CEO Peng Zhao, puts it ahead in valuation and distribution despite Polymarket’s larger user base.

The function of these markets is neither novelty nor noise. Their predictive performance consistently exceeds traditional polls, and their incentive structure is designed to reward information accuracy, not consensus or popularity.

Where These Systems Intersect

The connection between crypto mortgages and prediction markets is systemic. Polymarket (but not Kalshi yet) relies on blockchain infrastructure, emphasize decentralization over gatekeeping, and seek to replace human judgment with market-priced information.

Mortgage underwriting has long depended on static credit models and lagging data. Prediction markets, with their demonstrated ability to synthesize information in real time, could support crypto mortgage origination by modeling volatility risk, asset trajectories, and macroeconomic indicators with greater accuracy and granularity.

There’s also a funding alignment: the liquidity and capital flowing into prediction markets could underpin new financial vehicles for crypto mortgages — investment instruments priced on both digital asset holdings and probabilistic future outcomes.

Viewed together, these markets suggest a common pressure: the growing demand for financial tools that are faster, more adaptive, and more responsive to user-driven data. Regulation is catching up. Institutions are allocating capital. Users are opting in.

Rewriting The Financial System 

The $500 billion forecast in the title is not an abstract number. When platforms like Polymarket start outperforming pollsters, and when Freddie Mac considers Bitcoin balances for 30-year fixed-rate loans, something foundational is being rewritten. Kalshi will likely adopt blockchain infrastructure as soon as it is legally able to do so in the US. At the rate Trump’s war on Operation Chokepoint to rapidly transition the financial system to blockchain is progressing, that is unlikely to be very long.

Crypto mortgages meet a basic need: keeping digital wealth intact while expanding into physical assets. Prediction markets meet a systemic one: pricing uncertainty with speed and precision. Together, they form a core of the new financial stack being rebuilt with blockchain and AI for velocity, transparency, and composability.

COMPANIES TO WATCH

[Open Deal] Sanmai Technologies — Reid Hoffman is spearheading a $12M round for this ultrasound and AI startup focusing on human health enhancements including depression.

Prediction Markets — Kalshi raised a $185M Series C funding at $2B led by Paradigm, & now Polymarket nears a $200M round at $1B, led by Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund driven by 94% accurate US election predictions & an xAI partnership.

OpenAI — Developing advanced autonomous vehicle software, potentially rivaling Tesla. Sam Altman asserts that their tech might surpass current self-driving systems.

Amazon — Investing $4B+ to enhance its Same-Day and Next-Day delivery services in 4,000 rural U.S. towns by 2026. Aims to triple its delivery network and generate 170+ jobs amid a 30% rise in rural same-day deliveries.

XBOW — A $75M in Series B will help advance AI capabilities that now surpass human hackers, aiding its mission to protect top software from AI-driven threats.

Palantir — Investing $100M in Kentucky’s The Nuclear Company to develop a Nuclear Operating System to streamline reactor construction.

Abridge — The US AI medical scribe startup doubled its valuation to $5.3B after a $300M Series E led by Andreessen Horowitz. Expanding its services to include AI-powered medical coding.

 SignalPulse — Read the Top signals, Startups + Deals From The Last Week

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BUZZY TOOLS

Buzzy Tech Tools To Watch & Use

Google — Gemini CLI AI dev tool for terminals with generous usage limits + Offerwall boosts publisher revenue via micropayments and other tools.

Anthropic Artifacts — Create AI apps, docs from text; organizational tools.

Rabbit — AI agent for creating websites, PDFs, and reports — no coding skills.

Ring — AI Video Descriptions offer detailed home security event notifications.

Omi's Glass Dev Kit — O-S smart glasses for devs to DIY setup, customize - $299.

Creative Commons — CC Signals framework for AI dataset sharing, data protection.

BUZZY TECH

The Latest Deep Technology & Trends To Watch

Gemini Robotics On-Device — DeepMind model enables offline NL robot control.

Google AlphaGenome — Predicts DNA mutations effects w/unprecedented speed.

Glass Cloth — Nvidia, AMD, MS turn to Nitto Boseki glass cloth chip media supply.

QuantumScape Cobra — Heat treatment speeds 25x, aiding gw-hr batt scalability.

Light Signals — Vodafone‘s optical beamforming chip enhances signals using light.

Mjölnir Rocket Engine — US Hypersonic drones use LNG aerospace propulsion.

CRYPTO WATCH

Senate Crypto Push — Senate Banking Republicans plan to vote on a cryptocurrency market structure proposal in September and aim to pass stablecoin legislation despite resistance in the House.

Crypto Mortgages — The FHFA has directed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to recognize crypto as a valid mortgage asset, potentially shifting mortgage qualification criteria.

Galaxy Digital Venture Fund — Galaxy Digital has closed a $175M venture fund, exceeding its $150M target, it aims to integrate traditional finance with digital assets, focusing on payment infrastructure and stablecoin technologies.

Metaplanet Bitcoin Boost — Metaplanet secured another $515M to expand its Bitcoin holdings.

Digital Asset — Raised $135M to boost the Canton Network, a blockchain for institutional finance supported by major players like Goldman Sachs and Tradeweb integrating real-world assets while addressing privacy and compliance.

SharpLink Gaming — The Gaming company increased its Ethereum holdings by $30M, totaling over 188,000 ETH valued at $457.4M, causing a 7% stock price rise. It’s still down 87% from May peaks due to declining revenues, margins.

SPACE_RACE

James Webb_1st direct image of lightest exoplanet, novel starlight reduction.

Space Force Budget_Proposed $40B boost in 2026 under Trump's budget.

SpaceX_Cost-effective ‘Starshield’ alternative satellite program under review.

SpaceX_Mexico launches legal review on environmental pollution impacts.

Lux Aeterna_Reusable satellite aims for efficient, flexible space ops by 2027.

Muon Space_FireSat Infrared satellite enhances wildfire detection monitoring.

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